美联储淡化通胀担忧，美债美元走高

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美联储淡化通胀担忧，美债美元走高

29-07-2021 16:47

美联储淡化通胀担忧，美债美元走高

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美联储淡化通胀担忧，美债美元走高

美元继续表现强劲。美国经济复苏的快速步伐以及破坏性的第三波冠状病毒大流行带来的风险导致对美元的需求更加强劲。

美元兑一揽子六种世界货币的价值几乎达到了 4 月份的高点，目前交易于 92.78。欧元兑美元下跌 0.7%，跌破 3 个月低点 1.1778 美元。美国消费者价格创纪录的飙升也支撑了美元的涨势。该国的通胀率跃升 5.4%，创 13 年新高。核心通胀上升 4.5%，为 1991 年以来的最大增幅。这本应引发美联储迅速采取紧缩货币政策的反应。然而，监管机构将消费者价格的这种爆炸性上涨视为暂时现象。事实上，未来几个月通胀可能会放缓。然而，这需要相当长的时间，特别是考虑到美国经济蓬勃发展和美国人口袋里装满了钱。 ING 首席国际经济学家 James Knightley 表示，考虑到大流行及其影响、供应链中断以及劳动力短缺，需求似乎超过了经济增长。

奈特利认为，今年美联储至少必须开始缩减其债券购买计划，这意味着每月购买 1200 亿美元的债券。他指出，这反过来很可能会支撑美元。

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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