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08.04.2020 01:16 PM
GBP/USD: plan for the American session on April 8. The pound is expected to get stuck again in a narrow side channel

To open long positions on GBPUSD, you need:

In the morning forecast, I paid attention to the reports of Commitment of Traders, which clearly showed that many players prefer to stay on the sidelines and not trade the British pound in the current conditions. This is confirmed by a sharp decrease in volatility and the formation of another side channel in the GBP/USD pair, from which it can not get out for the second week. Given that important fundamental statistics on the British pound are not expected today, it is likely that volatility will continue to fall. In the first half of the day, the bulls managed to protect the support of 1.2285, which is clearly visible on the 5-minute chart, which led to an upward correction, which tends to the upper border of the side channel of 1.2383. Only a break in this range will lead GBP/USD to a larger upward trend and last week's maximum in the area of 1.2484, where I recommend fixing the profits. If the bears again return the pair to the support of 1.2285, it is best to open long positions from there only after the formation of a false breakout, and I recommend buying GBP/USD for a rebound from the larger minimum of 1.2166 in the calculation of correction of 50-60 points within the day.

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To open short positions on GBPUSD, you need:

Sellers of the pound need to try to return the market under their control and to do this, it is necessary to consolidate below the support of 1.2285, which was not possible to do in the first half of the day. A break of this level will lead to a larger sale of GBP/USD in the area of the lows of 1.2166 and 1.2030, where I recommend fixing the profits. If the bears remain in readiness mode and do not show any activity at the low of 1.2285, it is best to postpone short positions until the formation of a false breakout in the resistance area of 1.2383, which will be the first signal to sell the pound. Otherwise, it is best to shorten the market from the high of 1.2484, which is a large level of last week or to rebound from the new resistance of 1.2605.

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Signals of indicators:

Moving averages

Trading is conducted in the area of 30 and 50 daily averages, which indicates the lateral nature of the market.

Note: The period and prices of moving averages are considered by the author on the hourly chart H1 and differ from the general definition of the classic daily moving averages on the daily chart D1.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility has decreased significantly, which does not give signals for entering the market.

Description of indicators

  • Moving average (moving average determines the current trend by smoothing out volatility and noise). Period 50. The graph is marked in yellow.
  • Moving average (moving average determines the current trend by smoothing out volatility and noise). Period 30. The graph is marked in green.
  • MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence - moving average convergence / divergence) Fast EMA period 12. Slow EMA period 26. SMA period 9
  • Bollinger Bands (Bollinger Bands). Period 20
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